🇺🇲 Viewpoint – An Announced Provocation
Pedro Corzo, Senior Fellow, MSI²
Executive Summary
Castroism has maintained, since its origin, a deliberate strategy of confrontation with the United States, using crises, provocations, and covert operations as political instruments. This historical pattern not only demonstrates a systematic behavior but also confirms that the regime continues to resort to these mechanisms to sustain itself in power, even at the expense of the suffering of the Cuban people.
Why This Matters
Understanding the provocative and strategic nature of Castroism is essential to interpreting its current actions and anticipating its future moves. Far from being spontaneous reactions, many of its crises are driven by internal and external political calculations. This analysis is key to U.S. national security, hemispheric stability, and support for those inside and outside Cuba who continue to fight for freedom.
Origin of an Inevitable Confrontation
From the Sierra Maestra itself, the demiurge Fidel Castro proclaimed that, once the war against Fulgencio Batista ended, a greater struggle would begin for him against the United States, which he described as his “true destiny.” Castroism, not Cuba, is a constant and permanent threat to the security of this nation.
It is a historical truth that the island’s totalitarian system viscerally hates this country for representing all the values it opposes. Its vast totalitarian experience in political management makes it an extremely dangerous enemy, a circumstance aggravated by its total lack of scruples and its practice of provoking conflicts, regardless of how harmful the results may be for Cubans.
Strategy of Confrontation and Penetration
The followers of Castroism will always pursue the destruction of this nation, an effort in which they will seek the help of those who share that animosity, while they do not cease planting spies in U.S. territory in search of information that facilitates its downfall, as well as that of its most relevant allies, among whom the Cuban exile must be included.
Simultaneously, totalitarianism always tries to intensify its periodic crises with the United States, confident in the view shared by some that the conflict is between Goliath and a meek David who perpetually presents himself as a lamb that simply refuses to be turned into stew.
Historical Crises as a Political Tool
Let us bear in mind that the murder in the air over international waters of the four crew members of the Brothers to the Rescue aircraft occurred when President Bill Clinton faced the decision of whether or not to sign the Helms-Burton Act; furthermore, the Mariel Exodus was provoked under the administration of President Jimmy Carter, a leader who attempted to normalize relations and reduce the embargo.
The agents of Castroism operating in this country are more than aware that, although there are servile compatriots ready to betray and kill, there are no shortage of Cubans willing to risk their lives to end the tyranny; therefore, it is reasonable to believe that they have had some participation in the recent ambush and criminal machine-gunning of the expedition that transported a dozen patriots to Cuba.
Resistance: A Historical Constant
The recent incursion into Cuba by several compatriots willing to give their lives in defense of their convictions is not new, nor is it new that Castroist totalitarianism presents itself before the people it misgoverns and the world as a victim of the United States, accusing Washington of being responsible for several nationals entering the Island’s territorial waters, because as José Martí said: “When there are many men without honor, there are always others who carry within themselves the honor of many men!”.
The first naval expedition to overthrow the emerging totalitarianism that is known dates back to October 1960. A vessel with more than 20 men arrived on Cuban shores. They were commanded by Armentino “El Indio” Feria; 10 of the expedition members were executed by order of Raúl Castro, among them 3 U.S.-born citizens, at least one of whom was a veteran of the Korean War.
There have been many expeditions led by exiles and numerous deaths in combat, executions, and imprisonments, so it is appropriate to say that there have never been a lack of Cubans willing to honor our national anthem, which states: “To live in chains is to live in disgrace and opprobrium. Hear the sound of the bugle. To arms, brave ones, run!”.
A Regime in Crisis
For the pride of those of us born in Cuba, it is widely demonstrated that repression and indoctrination have not been sufficient to eliminate the desire for freedom of the majority of our compatriots, as evidenced by the large number of young people who are in prison, as well as those who wish to leave the country due to the deep frustration that consumes them, and by young people like these who, regardless of the manipulations of Castroist spies, risk their lives for their willingness to fight for the freedom and rights of Cubans.
The Castros, a high-flying mafia family, have conclusively demonstrated that they are extremely skilled at managing crises and, at this moment, are facing an extremely complicated situation due to their inability to resolve the most vital problems of the population, while the majority of citizens are fed up with the accumulation of failures that totalitarianism has produced. Their end is approaching.
Three Key Takeaways
Castroism has historically used provocation and crisis as strategic tools to consolidate its power.
The confrontation with the United States is not circumstantial, but a structural part of its narrative and political survival.
Despite repression, an active resistance persists inside and outside Cuba, which demonstrates the regime’s erosion and the proximity of a possible breaking point.
The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Miami Strategic Intelligence Institute (MSI²).




The author compares the United States as Goliath with "little" David as Cuba (and the Lamb of God). This comparison is not valid because the Communist Regime of Cuba (little David) does not believe in God and the lamb will be stewed.